Meteorological Cooperative of the Republic

Weather, climate, seismicity, landslide and flood · mandate held under the organic law on observation and warning

Meteorological Cooperative › Weather and climate › Emissions position

Emissions position of the Republic

The Republic emits more greenhouse gas than its territory absorbs. It is therefore a net polluter, and it has been one in every year of the record. The series has fallen in each of the last eleven years, and on the present trend the gross figure meets the territorial sink between 2049 and 2058.

PositionNet polluter, on a declining path
Inventory basisTerritorial emissions with a separate consumption account, both published
Compiled withThe Ecological Budget Authority and the Audit Office
Peak year1979, gross territorial emissions
Fall since peak54 per cent gross, 46 per cent net
Expected crossing into balanceBetween 2049 and 2058, the range reflecting the sink and the residual agricultural fraction

What the cooperative measures and what it declines to measure

The cooperative compiles the physical inventory: quantities of gas released, by source, by sub-region and by year, together with the quantity absorbed by soil, woodland, peat and coastal sediment. Those quantities go to the Ecological Budget Authority, which fixes the ceilings, and to the Audit Office, which examines consumption against them. The cooperative fixes no ceiling and audits no enterprise.

Measurement is direct where direct measurement is possible. Six flux towers, continuous concentration monitoring at four background sites, and aircraft transects twice a year over the industrial sub-regions establish the totals independently of what the sources report. Where the two disagree, both figures are published with the discrepancy stated.

The inventory

Greenhouse gas inventory, five-year steps, Mt CO2e a year
Year Gross emissions Territorial sink Net Net per resident
1979 168.4 14.1 154.3 9.6 t
1990 151.7 15.8 135.9 8.2 t
2000 132.5 17.6 114.9 6.7 t
2010 112.9 19.4 93.5 5.3 t
2015 101.2 20.9 80.3 4.5 t
2020 88.6 22.8 65.8 3.6 t
2025 76.9 24.6 52.3 2.8 t

Gross emissions exclude the sink. The sink grows as the Vandorum replanting proceeds and as the Kelvaqui peat, closed to conversion, recovers its function.

Where the remaining emissions come from

Electricity ceased to be the largest source in 1970, once fission passed half of supply, and the wind installations above Corcina have reduced the residual further since 1998. The sources that remain are the ones with no settled substitute.

Gross emissions by source, most recent complete inventory
Source Mt CO2e Share Change since 2010 Position
Agriculture, enteric and soil 24.1 31 % -11 % The hardest fraction; falls slowly with herd size and soil practice
Industrial process heat 16.8 22 % -38 % Electrification proceeding; cement and lime remain
Freight and shipping 11.4 15 % -29 % Coastal shipping and the road fraction the rail network leaves
Buildings and heat 9.7 13 % -52 % Falling fastest, through the panel building renovation programme
Materials and construction 8.2 11 % -24 % Bound by the materials ceiling, which stands above its limit
Electricity and district heat 4.3 6 % -61 % Residual; fission and wind supply the greater part
Waste and other 2.4 3 % -40 % Landfill closed; the remainder is process methane

Territorial and consumption accounts

The territorial account counts what is released inside the frontiers. The consumption account counts what is released anywhere in producing what the Republic uses, and it is the larger of the two, since the Republic imports concentrates, machinery and finished goods from beyond its borders.

The gap between the accounts stood at 31 per cent in 1990 and stands at 14 per cent now. It narrows as imports fall, which is the direct consequence of approaching resource independence. That narrowing is the subject examined on the harm to the periphery page, since emissions displaced abroad are borne by the countries where the production occurs.

See also